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Crypto Derivatives 3 September 2024

Block Scholes -Bl

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

Despite volatility levels having largely fluctuated for short-tenor ATM options, from the term structure we can once again observe that, as the US election approaches, volatility for options expiring after the election date is rising. We can additionally observe that skew for short-tenor options has been evolving positively in the past few days, with skew levels slightly rising similarly to what happened in mid-August, indicating a more neutral outlook despite the recent spot volatility. Concurrently, long-tenor options have consistently been pricing in higher volatility levels across the term structure, showing a stronger preference towards OTM calls.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

OKX Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH

BTC Options

BTC SVI Vol term structure

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

Short-dated volatility is oscillating, while volatility levels remain constant for long-tenor options.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

OKX BTC SVI PC skew

Skew levels have dropped towards puts in the past week for short tenors, but show signs of recovery in the past days.

ETH Options

ETH SVI Vol term structure

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

OKX ETH SVI ATM volatility

shows the same increase in the term structure as BTC for short tenors.

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

ETH’s short-tenor skews have fallen more significantly than BTC’s, and show slower signs of recovery.

Market Composite Volatility Surface

okx snap BTC SMILES.moneyness
okx snap ETH SMILES.moneyness

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

BTC BTC-27SEP24 Listed Expiry
ETH ETH-27SEP24 Listed Expiry

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

BTC-SVI Constant Maturity
ETH-SVI Constant Maturity

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Disclaimer
This content is provided for informational purposes only and may cover products that are not available in your region. It is not intended to provide (i) investment advice or an investment recommendation; (ii) an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold digital assets, or (iii) financial, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Please consult your legal/tax/investment professional for questions about your specific circumstances. Information (including market data and statistical information, if any) appearing in this post is for general information purposes only. While all reasonable care has been taken in preparing this data and graphs, no responsibility or liability is accepted for any errors of fact or omission expressed herein. Both OKX Web3 Wallet and OKX NFT Marketplace are subject to separate terms of service at www.okx.com.
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