Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.
In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.
Over the past week the derivatives market has shown a slight preference for ETH. The ATM implied volatility term structure for ETH inverted twice, reflecting demand for short-tenor optionality while BTC’s term structure has remained relatively steep. Implied volatility skew for both currencies indicates a preference for OTM calls across all tenors, signalling bullish sentiment. However, BTC’s skew sharp drops, whereas ETH’s skew has been more resilient, supporting a steadier positive outlook. Perpetual funding rates are similar for both assets, but ETH demonstrates a slight edge with higher levels favouring leveraged long exposure. Futures yields also align closely, except for short tenors where ETH shows higher levels.
ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor
BTC Options
BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Short-term implied volatility have risen recently, resulting in a ever-so-slightly steep term structure.
BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Skew has dropped again at the front-end while remaining high at the far-end, indicating contrasting sentiment across tenors.
ETH Options
ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility
ETH's short tenor implied volatility levels have lost their momentum as the term structure becomes less inverted.
ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Skew levels remain above BTC’s, showing a more bullish stance across tenors.
Market Composite Volatility Surface
Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles
Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles
The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.
This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.
The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.
Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.
© 2024 OKX. This article may be reproduced or distributed in its entirety, or excerpts of 100 words or less of this article may be used, provided such use is non-commercial. Any reproduction or distribution of the entire article must also prominently state: “This article is © 2024 OKX and is used with permission.” Permitted excerpts must cite to the name of the article and include attribution, for example “Article Name, [author name if applicable], © 2024 OKX.” No derivative works or other uses of this article are permitted.
Information about: digital currency exchange services is prepared by OKX Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 22 636 269 040); derivatives and margin by OKX Australia Financial Pty Ltd (ABN 14 145 724 509, AFSL 379035) and is only intended for wholesale clients (within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)); and other products and services by the relevant OKX entities which offer them (see Terms of Service). Information is general in nature and should not be taken as investment advice, personal recommendation or an offer of (or solicitation to) buy any crypto or related products. You should do your own research and obtain professional advice, including to ensure you understand the risks associated with these products, before you make a decision about them. Past performance is not indicative of future performance - never risk more than you are prepared to lose. Read our Terms of ServiceTerms of Serviceand Risk Disclosure Statement for more information.