Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.
In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.
One of the largest global market selloffs since the COVID pandemic took its toll on crypto-spot prices, resulting in double-digit selloffs that were harder felt by ETH and alts than BTC. The selloff saw funding rates spike negative as accumualted long positions were likely liquidated, and the volatility term structure inverted as traders rushed to cover exposure to further downside moves in the short term. However, volatility levels did not spike above their year-to-date highs for either major, and longer-dated volatility smiles remained steadfastly skewed towards OTM calls. This indicates that while this was strong move in the short term, traders are not yet concerned about long-term performance.
ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor
BTC Options
BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Volatility levels inverted strongly during the selloff, and have since trailed off
BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Short tenor options skewed strongly towards puts, but longer-tenor smiles remained steadfastly call-skewed
ETH Options
ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Shows a similar premium at short tenors to BTC, but trades 10-15 points higher across the term structure
ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Short tenors have not shown the same recovery from their sharp put-skew during the selloff as BTC’s have
Market Composite Volatility Surface
Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles
Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles
The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.
This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.
The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.
Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.
© 2024 OKX. يجوز إعادة إنتاج هذه المقالة أو توزيعها بالكامل، أو يجوز استخدام مقتطفات من 100 كلمة أو أقل من هذه المقالة، شريطة أن يكون هذا الاستخدام لأغراض غير تجارية. يجب أيضًا أن تنص أي إعادة إنتاج أو توزيع للمقالة بالكامل بوضوح على ما يلي: "هذه المقالة تحمل حقوق الطبع والنشر © 2024 OKX ويجب استخدامها بإذن." ويجب أن تشير المقتطفات المسموح بها إلى اسم المقالة وتتضمن إسنادًا، على سبيل المثال "اسم المقالة، و[اسم المؤلف إن أمكن]، و© 2024 OKX." ولا يُسمح بأية أعمال مشتقة أو استخدامات أخرى لهذه المقالة.