此网页仅供信息参考之用。部分服务和功能可能在您所在的司法辖区不可用。

Crypto Derivatives 22 October 2024

Block Scholes -Bl

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

The positive sentiment observed last week has consolidated, with bullishness reflected across key metrics for both majors. Perpetual funding rates remain positive, implied futures yields continue to show elevated levels and an inverted term structure, and the implied volatility smiles’ skew remains strongly tilted toward calls across tenors. The upcoming election is still impacting market dynamics greatly, with implied volatility for 14-day tenor options in both ETH and BTC rising, now approaching levels seen in longer-tenor options. At the same time, volatility at the far end of the term structure continues to trend sideways, only showing a slight decrease for BTC options. Notably, 7-day tenor options saw a spike in volatility last week, now having dropped sharply and sitting lower than last week.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

Fig1 OKX Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH

BTC Options

Fig2 BTC SVI Vol term structure

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

Fig3 OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

Volatility continues to rise at the front end of the term structure, with 14-day tenor options showing elevated levels.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

Fig4 OKX BTC SVI PC skew

Option smiles have maintained a strong skew towards calls, with the skew increasing slightly compared to last week.

ETH Options

Fig5 ETH SVI Vol term structure

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

Fig6 OKX ETH SVI ATM volatility

Implied volatility for ETH 14-day tenor options has risen, mirroring the increase seen in BTC ahead of the US election

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

Fig7 OKX ETH SVI PC skew

ETH’s skews have sharply risen and smiles are exhibiting call-skew across tenors.

Market Composite Volatility Surface

Fig8 okx snap BTC SMILES.moneyness
Fig9 okx snap ETH SMILES.moneyness

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

Fig10 BTC BTC-29NOV24 Listed Expiry
Fig11 ETH ETH-29NOV24 Listed Expiry

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

Fig12 BTC-SVI Constant Maturity
Fig13 ETH-SVI Constant Maturity

The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.

This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.

The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.

Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.

免责声明
This content is provided for informational purposes only and may cover products that are not available in your region. No responsibility or liability is accepted for any errors of fact or omission expressed in this content. It is not intended to provide (i) investment advice or an investment recommendation; (ii) an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold digital assets, or (iii) financial, accounting, legal, or tax advice.
© 2024 OKX. This article may be reproduced or distributed in its entirety, or excerpts of 100 words or less of this article may be used, provided such use is non-commercial. Any reproduction or distribution of the entire article must also prominently state: “This article is © 2024 OKX and is used with permission.” Permitted excerpts must cite to the name of the article and include attribution, for example “Article Name, [author name if applicable], © 2024 OKX.” No derivative works or other uses of this article are permitted.
Information about: digital currency exchange services is prepared by OKX Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 22 636 269 040); derivatives and margin by OKX Australia Financial Pty Ltd (ABN 14 145 724 509, AFSL 379035) and is only intended for wholesale clients (within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)); and other products and services by the relevant OKX entities which offer them (see Terms of Service). Information is general in nature and should not be taken as investment advice, personal recommendation or an offer of (or solicitation to) buy any crypto or related products. You should do your own research and obtain professional advice, including to ensure you understand the risks associated with these products, before you make a decision about them. Past performance is not indicative of future performance - never risk more than you are prepared to lose. Read our Terms of ServiceTerms of Serviceand Risk Disclosure Statement for more information.
展开
相关推荐
查看更多
查看更多